Active Weather
A quiet morning. The National Weather Service active alert feed, read at 1:01 this morning Eastern time, shows no active alerts in New York, New Jersey, Puerto Rico, or the U.S. Virgin Islands.
No severe thunderstorm risk area from the Storm Prediction Center reaches the region today, and the Weather Prediction Center carries no excessive rainfall risk here through Wednesday morning.
Infrastructure
No large wildfires are burning in the region on the National Interagency Fire Center's current incident list.
The national wildfire preparedness level is 4 on a five step scale, set September 4 at 7:30 in the morning Mountain time, according to the National Interagency Fire Center. Its national fire news page, current September 7, counts 65 large fires with 15,855 firefighters and support staff assigned, and 53,233 fires for 8,303,398 acres so far this year.
No new federal disaster declarations for New York, New Jersey, Puerto Rico, or the Virgin Islands appear in the Federal Emergency Management Agency's declarations record since the middle of August.
Public Health
No air quality alerts are active in the region.
No boil water advisories were identified.
The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention Health Alert Network archive could not be read this run, so this brief makes no claim about national health advisories in either direction.
Watch Item
The forward looking item for this region in September is the Atlantic, and the Atlantic is empty. The National Hurricane Center's tropical weather outlook, issued at 8:00 last evening Eastern time, states that tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next seven days across the North Atlantic, the Caribbean Sea, and the Gulf.
For Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands in particular, a seven day quiet window in early September is uncommon and it is useful. The islands sit at the front of the basin, which means storms usually arrive with less lead time than they give the mainland. A week with nothing on the map is the week to top up water, check that battery banks hold a charge, and confirm that anyone in the household who depends on powered medical equipment has a plan that does not assume the grid.
For New York and New Jersey, the same window applies with a different emphasis. Coastal flooding here does not require a named storm. It requires an onshore wind and a high tide, and those arrive several times each fall. Knowing your tidal flood zone is a one time lookup.
The Weather Prediction Center's extended discussion, issued at 1:41 yesterday afternoon Eastern time, has a cold front crossing the Northeast and Mid-Atlantic Wednesday into Thursday with showers and thunderstorms. Locally heavy rain is more likely in the Ohio Valley and the central Appalachians than here. The front is progressive, which limits flash flooding.
Explore Today
The steps that fit inside a quiet week, and the ones that only fit inside a watch.
How to find out whether your address floods, and what to move first if it does.
What changes when an outage or a storm lasts longer than a long weekend.